4 what-if scenarios · 20 Manitoba industries
How does AI risk change depending on what you do next?
Pick a scenario to see how risk levels shift across Manitoba's industries — whether AI arrives fast, slow, or your business gets ahead of it now.
Scenario · Where things stand
Current estimated AI disruption risk for each Manitoba industry, based on published research.
This is the starting point. Scores reflect how automatable the jobs are in each industry, how much AI is already being used, and how quickly businesses in that sector are adopting new tools.
- Higher risk
- 4
- Moderate risk
- 15
- Lower risk
- 1
- Risk level shifts
- —
| Rank | Industry | Risk score | Risk level |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Information | 72 | High |
| 2 | Administrative Support | 70 | High |
| 3 | Professional Services | 69 | High |
| 4 | Finance & Insurance | 68 | High |
| 5 | Retail Trade | 63 | Medium |
| 6 | Wholesale Trade | 61 | Medium |
| 7 | Arts & Entertainment | 56 | Medium |
| 8 | Manufacturing | 55 | Medium |
| 9 | Corporate Management | 55 | Medium |
| 10 | Utilities | 51 | Medium |
| 11 | Transportation | 49 | Medium |
| 12 | Public Administration | 47 | Medium |
| 13 | Education | 45 | Medium |
| 14 | Real Estate | 44 | Medium |
| 15 | Agriculture | 42 | Medium |
| 16 | Accommodation & Food | 41 | Medium |
| 17 | Mining & Oil | 38 | Medium |
| 18 | Health Care | 36 | Medium |
| 19 | Other Services | 35 | Medium |
| 20 | Construction | 28 | Low |
Scenario scores are illustrative projections derived from the 2024 baseline using the methodology described in the About & Methodology page. They are not forecasts. Rows highlighted in amber indicate sectors where the scenario changes the risk tier.
What each scenario assumes
Where things stand
The starting point. Scores are based on how automatable the jobs are in each industry, how much AI is already being used, and how quickly businesses in that sector are adopting new tools.
AI spreads quickly
Industries with little AI use today get a higher risk score — because fast change would leave less time to prepare. The further behind a sector is, the bigger the increase.
Already using AI
Risk scores drop by about 30% for businesses actively using AI. Getting started early pays off — you're building skills and adapting before disruption forces your hand.
Not started yet
Risk scores rise by about 10% for businesses not yet exploring AI tools. This reflects the extra pressure of having to catch up quickly once change is already underway.